Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2572.922097 2790.149161 3010.924636 3251.789860 3506.857967 3768.610051 4057.209332
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2183.167148 2500.702387 2836.330896 3216.314179 3633.344084 4075.897654 4579.822231
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1972.069417 2352.037153 2765.307215 3245.726519 3786.327673 4373.363680 5056.474549
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1793.329017 2214.874369 2684.731693 3243.228877 3884.845929 4594.792982 5435.518340
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1684.123156 2143.800091 2667.037794 3300.810754 4041.612830 4874.117257 5874.161851
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1547.801125 2029.196857 2588.415517 3278.074912 4097.485158 5031.773937 6169.034809
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1479.169468 1989.227080 2592.171022 3347.194765 4256.656648 5306.195124 6597.757971
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1393.906018 1922.530167 2558.266191 3366.300565 4352.605567 5504.046532 6935.796178
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1309.955102 1851.868444 2514.556089 3368.981831 4425.153323 5671.677154 7236.814460
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1187.172755 1724.705106 2394.198614 3270.925563 4369.487548 5681.233560 7345.356689
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1166.696373 1728.580445 2437.648228 3376.492627 4564.182510 5993.935097 7820.809473
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1132.108871 1711.417393 2452.313834 3444.294332 4711.299065 6248.965263 8227.759873
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1068.623454 1653.416751 2412.901467 3442.756968 4772.478829 6401.047984 8513.560816
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 995.595521 1578.796681 2348.554913 3406.246677 4787.317301 6494.706505 8727.538018
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 953.900803 1545.326690 2336.901634 3436.950132 4887.070717 6694.056895 9073.309094
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 903.043015 1496.173369 2301.693871 3434.342691 4942.157252 6836.313826 9347.742603
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 877.943897 1482.595331 2313.938345 3494.451099 5078.867870 7082.643890 9754.682124
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 825.918694 1427.036771 2265.763441 3470.719010 5103.557718 7184.844177 9978.841099
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 808.942896 1422.463138 2288.150960 3542.862242 5255.467223 7451.296338 10413.779127
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 776.327319 1392.670206 2273.462323 3562.800966 5336.968391 7626.670032 10732.920034
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 740.393031 1356.027486 2247.416288 3565.599027 5394.459429 7770.451032 11011.789644
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 675.632183 1271.364031 2148.731136 3463.256029 5306.334407 7721.056013 11038.547360
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 675.371530 1288.583965 2199.542010 3573.436867 5509.960354 8057.813294 11570.521042